Steven Bush writes in the New Statesman, “Why the Tories’ falling poll lead isn’t a surprise”. This is written in response to this morning’s YouGov poll putting Labour within 5% of the Tories. He says, that on a uniform swing, far from strengthening her hand, the PM would be back in office with a majority of just two.

He also points out that wages are falling, and no government has ever won an election in those circumstances. She’s losing the Angels in Marble and it may depend on what Bush calls her purple firewall, the swing from UKIP to the Tories

Swing

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