{"id":11100,"date":"2024-07-12T15:37:55","date_gmt":"2024-07-12T15:37:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/?p=11100"},"modified":"2025-09-09T17:20:49","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T17:20:49","slug":"where-did-the-votes-come-from","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/where-did-the-votes-come-from\/","title":{"rendered":"Where did the votes come from?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I think these are very powerful, a sankey diagram showing where the 2024 votes came from, by YouGov using Flourish as the visualisation tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<iframe src=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/18656878\/embed?auto=1\" title=\"Election 2024, by YouGov via flourish\" scrolling=\"yes\" style=\"border:none;\" width=98% height=\"575\"><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n<p>Sadly, it doesn&#8217;t seem to show where new voters went, nor plot a to\/from no vote\/abstain. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>See also the full <a href=\"https:\/\/yougov.co.uk\/politics\/articles\/49978-how-britain-voted-in-the-2024-general-election\">YouGov report<\/a>, and the <a href=\"https:\/\/flo.uri.sh\/visualisation\/18656878\/embed?auto=1\">original chart on flourish<\/a> which is larger and easier to read. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And this<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-twitter\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Flow of the vote, 2019-24, provisional version (will wait for the BES data to be released to make a final version, plus some deeper cuts). <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/gktfPn0mgu\">pic.twitter.com\/gktfPn0mgu<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Dylan Difford (@Dylan_Difford) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Dylan_Difford\/status\/1812751453842190571?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 15, 2024<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>In August 25, I had another look at voter volatility and read the following documents,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.britishelectionstudy.com\/uncategorized\/looking-for-labours-lost-voters\/\">Looking for Labour\u2019s lost voters<\/a>, BES 2025 argues that the votes on the right are beyond Labour\u2019s reach<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/pa\/advance-article\/doi\/10.1093\/pa\/gsaf016\/8128637\">https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/pa\/advance-article\/doi\/10.1093\/pa\/gsaf016\/8128637<\/a> James David Griffiths, Stuart Perrett, Edward Fieldhouse, Christopher Prosser, Jane Green, Jonathan Mellon, Jack Bailey, Geoffrey Evans, The Brexit realignment amid electoral volatility: The role of party blocs in the 2024 General Election, <em>Parliamentary Affairs<\/em>, 2025;, gsaf016, <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/pa\/gsaf016\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/pa\/gsaf016<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/disappointing-and-dangerous\/\">My blog article called \u2018disappointing-and-dangerous\u2019<\/a> \u2013 dfl1955 2025, after the 25 locals<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/averypublicsociologist.blogspot.com\/2025\/04\/how-labour-could-beat-reform.html\">How Labour could beat Reform<\/a> &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/averypublicsociologist.blogspot.com\/2025\/04\/how-labour-could-beat-reform.html\">https:\/\/averypublicsociologist.blogspot.com\/2025\/04\/how-labour-could-beat-reform.html<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/persuasionuk.org\/research\/reform-curious-labour\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Getting to Know Reform Curious Labour voters<\/a> at Persuasion UK<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/skywriter.blue\/pages\/did:plc:codfx2epdduamfycuyi5fjpb\/post\/3lxtgcjdkbs2v\">https:\/\/skywriter.blue\/pages\/did:plc:codfx2epdduamfycuyi5fjpb\/post\/3lxtgcjdkbs2v<\/a>, Monbiot on Bluesky<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.newstatesman.com\/politics\/2025\/09\/its-official-keir-starmers-island-of-strangers-speech-has-backfired\">Its official, Keir Starmers island of strangers speech has backfired<\/a> at the New Statesman<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/osf.io\/preprints\/socarxiv\/zbmp3_v1\">Accommodating the Radical Right: The Electoral Costs for Social Democratic Parties<\/a>, Turnbull-Dugarte, S. J., Bailey, J., Devine, D., Dickson, Z., Hobolt, S. B., Jennings, W., \u2026 Lawall, K. (2025, September 1). Accommodating the Radical Right: The Electoral Costs for Social Democratic Parties. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31235\/osf.io\/zbmp3_v1\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31235\/osf.io\/zbmp3_v1<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I think these are very powerful, a sankey diagram showing where the 2024 votes came from, by YouGov using Flourish as the visualisation tool.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6743,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[140],"tags":[2071,141,2072],"class_list":["post-11100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-ge2024","tag-politics-2","tag-votes"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@davelevy_eu\/112774262139666976","error":""},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/10\/pollingstation-w1024.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11100","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11100"}],"version-history":[{"count":20,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11100\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12975,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11100\/revisions\/12975"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11100"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11100"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11100"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}