{"id":4573,"date":"2019-11-03T10:44:17","date_gmt":"2019-11-03T10:44:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wiki.davelevy.info\/?p=4573"},"modified":"2023-06-10T17:47:47","modified_gmt":"2023-06-10T17:47:47","slug":"consitituencies-leave-or-remain","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/consitituencies-leave-or-remain\/","title":{"rendered":"Consitituencies: Leave or Remain"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of the most important issues in the 2019 general elections will be Brexit; that&#8217; why its been called. Polls are proving inaccurate so the only data we have is the 2016 Referendum which was counted and results released at Local Authority level. I am deeply interested in knowing how consitiuencies votes and I am not alone. Here are my notes.<!--more--><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>I found this site,\u00a0http:\/\/democraticdashboard.com which has a lot of data including presumably an estimated figure for leave\/remain. It has a search engine for location.<\/li>\n<li>I am pointed at <a title=\"Professor of Politics at Royal Holloway\" href=\"http:\/\/chrishanretty.co.uk\">Chris Hanretty<\/a> and <a title=\"Final estimates of the Leave vote, or &quot;Areal interpolation and the UK\u2019s referendum on EU membership&quot;\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@chrishanretty\/final-estimates-of-the-leave-vote-or-areal-interpolation-and-the-uks-referendum-on-eu-membership-5490b6cab878\">his blog article on making these estimates<\/a>. He published in a peer reviewed journal, JEPOP, and here is\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/17457289.2017.1287081?journalCode=fbep20\">its landing page and abstract;<\/a>\u00a0it&#8217;s behind a pay wall. The blog article has three all constituency spreadsheets.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Also,<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/scroll-bars-in-html-boxes\/\">Final estimates of the Leave vote, or \u2018Area interpolation and the UK\u2019s referendum on EU membership\u2019<\/a>, by Chris Hanretty, on Medium in which he posts three spreadsheets detailing the referendum results by CLP.<\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20230401102354\/https:\/\/www.ox.ac.uk\/news-and-events\/oxford-and-brexit\/brexit-analysis\/mapping-brexit-vote\">Mapping the Brexit vote<\/a>\u00a0 by Chris Green, about Maps and results<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>The image has been<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20201111214649\/https:\/\/www.indy100.com\/article\/maps-charts-explain-brexit-european-union-referendum-8279206\"> taken from the Independent<\/a>, it has been cropped, and I have amended the colour representing Leave to the more usual yellow.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of the most important issues in the 2019 general elections will be Brexit; that&#8217; why its been called. Polls are proving inaccurate so the only data we have is the 2016 Referendum which was counted and results released at Local Authority level. I am deeply interested in knowing how consitiuencies votes and I am&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4575,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[140],"tags":[1006,141,1359],"class_list":["post-4573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-brexit","tag-politics-2","tag-referendum"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/leave-remain-w650-1.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4573"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4573\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8191,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4573\/revisions\/8191"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4575"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}