{"id":5561,"date":"2021-02-13T16:55:51","date_gmt":"2021-02-13T16:55:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/?p=5561"},"modified":"2023-01-04T17:36:53","modified_gmt":"2023-01-04T17:36:53","slug":"brexit-month-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/brexit-month-one\/","title":{"rendered":"Brexit, Month One"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The post brexit deal, one month on. It&#8217;s not going well, both trade, which is down, some say by 68%, due to the economic consequences of non-tariff barriers to entry, mainly paper work, and the consequences of agreeing a border in the Irish Sea are placing massive strains on the Good Friday agreement. Here are some notes.<!--more--><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com\/2021\/02\/the-brexit-weve-got.html#comment-form\">The brexit we&#8217;ve got<\/a>, by Chris Grey, I have picked some quotes at <a href=\"https:\/\/diigo.com\/0jpwga\">https:\/\/diigo.com\/0jpwga<\/a><\/li>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/0792773d-4fa2-4bf3-a92f-b4f0d04b1030?accessToken=zwAAAXebFMZwkc8Hknc9T6JL89OpL7Tw0EsQMA.MEUCIEFvOG3imSqWoS77NFs9kRMkX_jk6vGSMg3GMbf5XpCEAiEAp2eMmKYlCvMRizmpWaKcUfq-CcNOGkJOtmKRzOC2-bI&amp;sharetype=gift?token=fb603b24-5d2d-4bf6-9f71-06224eaf582a\">FT on trade &amp; NI<\/a>, dated Feb 11th 2021<\/li>\n<li>And <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/41215041-a703-4227-ab1a-42e0310511db\">the FT on Euro Capital Markets<\/a>; they&#8217;re going, mainly it seems to Amsterdam<\/li>\n<li>The FT, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/21090acb-23c2-4c1b-a013-7ecddaa18c7a\">on five vulnerabilities<\/a> to the oven ready deal<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>And,on the blog,<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"XrMah1op2K\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/the-eu-too-early-to-ask-to-rejoin\/\">The EU, too early to ask to rejoin?<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;The EU, too early to ask to rejoin?&#8221; &#8212; davelevy.info\" src=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/the-eu-too-early-to-ask-to-rejoin\/embed\/#?secret=WFiOXzbK00#?secret=XrMah1op2K\" data-secret=\"XrMah1op2K\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>where among other things I say,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Again, I over-estimate the Tories; if I was planning to fuck up the economy, and betray noisy element of my electoral coalition, I\u2019d have sort have planned to do it over a period of time, inspired by the instruction manual of how to boil a frog, hoping they wouldn\u2019t notice. But no, within days, it\u2019s clear that its <a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/happy-fish\/\">useless to catch fish<\/a> if you can\u2019t sell it, that a customs border between Britain and Northern Ireland is going to be <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-northern-ireland-55575988\">a problem in supplying northern Irish supermarkets<\/a>, that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bignewsnetwork.com\/news\/267421145\/many-uk-companies-looking-to-relocate-to-europe\">warehousing jobs are going to move<\/a> to the continent, that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/business-55786974\">exporters are going to have to open European offices<\/a>, or <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/1CheshireCheese\/status\/1352534850142687232?s=20\">in the case of some food businesses<\/a> stop exporting, that exported goods in transit over the turn of the year will be <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20210227185847\/https:\/\/www.thenational.scot\/news\/19032842.snp-condemn-tory-brexit-deal-retailers-burn-goods-stuck-eu\/\">returned and\/or burnt<\/a> and that supply chains will <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20210121190153\/https:\/\/www.sunderlandecho.com\/business\/nissan-suspend-production-sunderland-covid-hits-supply-lines-3108913\">be disrupted<\/a> impacting British manufacturing productivity. While we may be in a tariff free agreement, the trade border is not frictionless and this friction will cost people money, their jobs and in some cases, patron owned small businesses, many with long histories of success will sadly go under. We need to remember <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/8075e68c-7857-11e8-8e67-1e1a0846c475\">Boris\u2019s summary of his industrial policy, \u201cFuck Business\u201d<\/a>.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Chris Grey, see above, says,<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Those consequences continue to be seen and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/politics\/2021\/feb\/07\/british-importers-brace-for-disaster-as-new-brexit-checks-loom\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">will get a lot worse<\/a> when the UK introduces the import controls it was not ready to enforce when the transition period ended. The damage Brexit is causing \u2013 just to take a selection from this week &#8211; \u00a0is shown in the heartbreaking stories of individual businesses from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-northern-ireland-55978194\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">cheesemakers<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/amp\/uk-wales-politics-55719498?__twitter_impression=true\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">meat processors<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20221116005933\/https:\/\/www.yorkshirepost.co.uk\/business\/owner-first-lobster-tank-business-europes-largest-shellfish-port-forced-close-due-brexit-restraints-3127061\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">lobster exporters<\/a> to <a href=\"https:\/\/bylinetimes.com\/2021\/02\/05\/exporting-lies-how-brexit-deceit-is-affecting-my-balance-sheet\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">oystermen<\/a>, in the staggering <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/uk-britain-eu-freight-idUKKBN2AA1T0?taid=602429af83c3fa000162f0ab&amp;utm_campaign=trueAnthem:+Trending+Content&amp;utm_medium=trueAnthem&amp;utm_source=twitter\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">50% increase in the cost of road freight<\/a> from France to Britain, in the <a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20210210095253\/https:\/\/www.dihk.de\/de\/themen-und-positionen\/europaeische-wirtschaftspolitik\/brexit\/auswirkungen-des-brexit-auf-die-deutsche-wirtschaft-35870\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">decline in German exports to Britain<\/a>, in the collapse of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-wales-55954524\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">trade through Welsh ports<\/a>, in the jobs that would have been created in the UK by JJD Sports <a href=\"https:\/\/www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk\/news\/uk-news\/jd-sports-could-move-up-19801786\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">going\u00a0 to the EU instead<\/a>, and in business surveys such as <a href=\"https:\/\/asia.nikkei.com\/Politics\/International-relations\/Third-of-Japan-companies-fear-Brexit-will-hurt-business-survey\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">that showing that<\/a> one in ten Japanese businesses will reduce their UK presence as a result of Brexit whilst none \u2013 none \u2013 will expand it, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.telegraph.co.uk\/business\/2021\/02\/11\/half-exporters-suffer-brexit-border-nightmare\/\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">and that showing (\u00a3)<\/a> that half of British exporters are experiencing problems described as \u2018worsening\u2019 and, even, a \u2018nightmare\u2019.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<hr \/>\n<p>My writings on brexit and the post-brexit deal are being spread out across this wiki, as I write narrow and small snips; you can search on the tags, <a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/tag\/brexit\/\">brexit<\/a>, or <a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/tag\/postbrexitdeal\/\">postbrexitdeal<\/a> or for the word <a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/?s=brexit\">brexit<\/a> . You can also\u00a0 look for the tag <a href=\"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/tag\/brexit\/\">brexit<\/a> in the blog.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The post brexit deal, one month on. It&#8217;s not going well, both trade, which is down, some say by 68%, due to the economic consequences of non-tariff barriers to entry, mainly paper work, and the consequences of agreeing a border in the Irish Sea are placing massive strains on the Good Friday agreement. Here are&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5562,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","_share_on_mastodon":"0"},"categories":[137,140],"tags":[1006,138,1335,1584,141,1563],"class_list":["post-5561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics","category-politics","tag-brexit","tag-economics-2","tag-international-trade","tag-northernireland","tag-politics-2","tag-postbrexitdeal"],"share_on_mastodon":{"url":"","error":""},"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/belfast-harbour-w750.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5561"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6951,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5561\/revisions\/6951"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5562"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/davelevy.info\/wiki\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}