The Register has published it’s take on the polls and the election. It’s probably a balanced view, quoting Nate Silver as needing to be suspicious of outliers e.g. YouGov. They do take a guess, ranging from a hung parliament, to a 50 vote majority. They also point at Electoral Calculus’s prediction tool, which is not as pretty as the old BBC one but fun. …
Debate
I watched the debate last night. I think Rudd was brave but it was always going to be a tough sell and Craig Murray can’t have helped her by writing his own pen picture of her, detailing her wealth, her attempts to hide it and contempt for the poor, a point exposed by Jeremy Corbyn’s question about if she’d visited a food bank. In my opinion, it did the Tories no good, and Angus Robertson (SNP) & Caroline Lucas (Green) came out of it well. Jeremy held his own. …