I made a submission on rejoining the EU to Labour's NPF. This article documents both how to, and my words of the submission.
To see what I've said and/or download the text, use the "Read More" button. ...
I made a submission on rejoining the EU to Labour's NPF. This article documents both how to, and my words of the submission.
To see what I've said and/or download the text, use the "Read More" button. ...
It is my view that Starmer wants a Swiss style deal with the European Union. The reason I consider the summit to be a draw, albeit a score draw, is that neither of the end goals of rejoining nor staying out with a Swiss style agreement are closed off. But also, neither is the end result of the EU saying we’re too busy to spend this time “dot & comma-ing” with you.
There is no inexorability in rejoining from that agreement as I believe is implied by John Palmer’s Chartist piece. Perhaps, John believes that Trump will drive even Starmer away from NATO but I believe they will try very hard not to make the choice. In fact, I believe the proposal for a defence/security agreement is deliberately made to allow trade-offs against the single market acquis and to try to exclude security which includes border control co-operation from the Charter of Fundamental Rights and the EU Court of Justice’s jurisdiction.
I also believe much of Labour’s defence positioning is designed for internal party combat and learnt from simplistic board games.
However, ihis article, entitled “EU officially retires its ‘no cherry-picking’ Brexit line” may show that the new Commission (and maybe even the Council), are happier with a deal with opt-outs; even then, I am not sure I’d want to start from the withdrawal agreement.
I believe that those of us who believe that it’s a better world with a democratic EU still need to seek to influence the Labour Party and Government.
Image Credit: from flickr, Keir Starmer’s feed, CC 2024 BY-NC-ND …
Last week, the UK and the EU met at the most senior levels in what the labour government has described as a reset of EU relations. As usual, the conclusions are best documented on the EU website where they published a joint communique. Certainly the results of the negotiations have changed few minds. While I consider that the best result would be if both sides walked out thinking they’d won, my feeling is that this was a draw, although no major breakthroughs occurred and a huge opportunity wasted, primarily due to the lack of vision and ambition on the part of the Labour government.
The words on defence co-operation are the most concrete, although further negotiations are required and while UK companies will be able to bid for work from the EU, HMG will have to contribute to the budget.
The relegation of words by recasting youth mobility as youth experience, illustrates the stubborn recidivism of the labour government and the fact is, that there has been no movement by the EU on creative workers’ freedom of movement.
The two sides have agreed to continue to talk about an agricultural deal, and greater cooperation in the electricity, carbon and energy markets. The agricultural deal is crucial so reducing paperwork checks both between Great Britain and the European Union and also between Great Britain and Northern Ireland.
There are several paragraphs on internal security and judicial co-operation which mention Europol but not the issue of the Charter of Fundamental Rights. The UK has for decades, under both Tory and Labour governments been reluctant to engage with the Charter and it seems remains so; the children of fascist and Stalinist societies put more faith in a basic law than parliamentary sovereignty. I am unclear that these paragraphs are anything more than aspirational.
The press release/communique makes clear that its consequential programmes and agreements build on the Withdrawal Agreement, including the Windsor Framework, and the Trade and Cooperation Agreement and require their “full, timely, and faithful implementation”. The UK still has some work to do there as the Commission are pursuing eight infringements by the UK government of the existing agreements. This is a critical red-line for the EU.
I am interested how the closer to reality and the single market the proposals are the stronger the UK commitments to dynamic alignment, the CJEU and financial contribution are; it would seem we really are joining one agency/pillar at a time.
As many commentators, not least the UK Government observe, Starmer’s redlines have not been breached but little more progress could have been expected without some compromise and £140bn worth of GDP is at stake.
If we are to consider this as a football match, it’s probably a draw. The EU have ensured the current treaties are confirmed and that any entrance to the single market includes dynamic alignment, CJEU judicial authority and financial contributions, in exchange, the UK have obtained agreement that the Commission will engage in pre-legislative consultation. This is an important breakthrough. The defence agreement is necessary, but as noted the British government will need to contribute to the European Union’s defence budget to bid for arms contracts. The rest of the agreement are statements of ambition. The section on borders and judicial cooperation, I need to read again as I am unclear of the direction all future negotiations. Any agreement satisfactory to the UK Home Office and the European Union equivalent is not likely to be satisfactory for those of us who believe that racism fuels much of the immigration control debate.
The Tories and reform claim the agreement is a betrayal of the nine year old mandate, rejoin campaigners close to the Labour leadership such as Best for Britain, the European Movement, the LME and Sadiq Khan claim it’s a step in the right direction, the FT say and I agree that,
Labour arguably wasted some of the post-election goodwill it enjoyed last year in Brussels, through the paucity of its own ambition and its manifesto red lines insisting on no return to the EU single market, customs union or freedom of movement. Its new reset at least attempts to push up to the limits of some of those red lines.
The FT EB
The Economist also state that more is needed. [Also at archive.ph.]
It’s a better result than last time when the EU told the UK to do better.
The problem is that the UK wants a Swiss style deal where they can focus on those areas of maximum benefit to the UK economy. The EU want commitment to the full acquis. Squaring this circle is probably impossible just as fixing Brexit is.
Does it make rejoining more or less likely? I suggest neither, but the problem is the current Labour leadership and its stubborn and failed pursuit of the dying Brexit voter. …
I wrote a little note on Cloud Operating Systems on Linkedin, provoked by an article, entitled “International Civil Society’s Tech Stack is in Extreme Danger” and published in “The Dissident”, this blog, is a fairly faithful reprint. The authors articulate the threat to civil society that the US corporate monopoly and Trump’s aggressive and unaccountable sanctions capability poses to progressives around the world. Trump has instructed the US cloud providers to sanction the International Criminal Court. The Dissident’s article asks how long it’ll be before progressive NGO’s are similarly targeted and whether US Banks and payment processors will similarly be mandated, as the US has done before.
It’s another example where the USA’s erratic and selfish political agenda must lead once friendly foreign governments to consider their “security of supply”. Most of the code required to run a cloud is open source, at the moment, and I would recommend that the British and EU governments ensure they can sustain access to this code as well as other critical open-source resources such as Office productivity and email products. We should also be looking at distributive governance models like mastodon and diaspora.
Fortunately, the EU has a massive, distributed computing capability and while the basic architecture of supercomputers and Internet platforms differs, they are in fact exceedingly similar. It’s also fortunate for the UK, while Rachel Reeves cancelled Sunak’s supercomputing projects, that the previous Tory government agreed to rejoin the EU’s supercomputing consortium.
Escaping from the US monopoly control requires will and knowledge and I am unsure that it exists within the UK’s political leadership, equally I’m unsure that it exists within the leadership of the EU member states. I should also add, it’s not really about the hardware, nor the land and electricity. …
I attended a lecture on AI Ethics and blogged on Linkedin and mirrored it on Medium, I catalogue the issues as presented by Dr Hung and used Google to see if there were any obvious gaps.
I look at Garbage In, Garbage Out problem, repeat the calls for transparency, I repeat my arguments about authority vs popularity and the role of the GDPR, and I look at copyright and the four [software] freedoms. …
The Election results on May 1st is disappointing for progressives in this country and dangerous. Reform won a by-election in one of labour’s safest seats, won two Mayoralties and took control of ten councils, two from Labour (Kent & Durham).
Labour’s response has been stupid, by suggesting we should have campaigned harder, or disgusting, as in we need to be harsher in “Stopping the Boats”. Copying reform empowers them, Labour must stop it!
Furthermore, it is little noticed that in Lambeth, the Greens, in a council by-election, won a ward from Labour. This is proof at the polls that there is clearly a constituency to the left of the Labour Party as it stands today.
It is little understood inside Labour that the “hero voter” strategy failed; few Tories came to Labour in 2024 with many voting either Reform or staying at home. In his article, “How Labour could beat Reform”, Phil Burton Cartledge, quotes the study, ‘Getting to Know Reform Curious Labour voters‘ which shows that Labour needs to ensure it does not lose its progressive base who seem more ready to vote for another party then Reform voters do to vote for Labour. As is the case for the Tories, the votes aren’t there on the right to make the difference.
The reasons for dissatisfaction withy Labour are clear, possibly best or at least succinctly summed up by John McTiernan on twitter, and in this thread. Labour is no longer trusted with the welfare state or public services. It needs to re-establish that trust by keeping its implicit as well as explicit promises.
After posting my thoughts, I was pointed at “Entering Faragia” by David Aaronovitch and have corrected my stats. He also points out that Liberal Democrats beat both Labour and the Tories which is further evidence that Labour faces an electoral threat other than Reform UK and the Tories. You might like to read the article as he examines the likely built in delivery failure of Reform’s promises, particularity a DOGE in every county, and questions the calibre of many of Reform’s candidates. He offers Labour three responses, which he describes as panics, firstly to steal Reform’s clothes, secondly, to forget the long term and thirdly to return to Corbynism, which I feel he summarises and characterises unfairly if only by omission. Aaronovitch feels these are all deadends but I would offer a fourth, a return to Starmer’s 10 promises made to the party while campaigning for leader. …