More on untimely atlanticism & trade

In, Untimely Atlanticism, a note on the UK-US Tech Prosperity Deal, I outlined the inadequacy of the proposed agreement. I fear the development of an AI/Finance based economy due to its fragility, its low job creation potential, its innovation destruction capability and lack of utility to consumers. Who needs more cat memes?

by deepai.org CC0 based on a prompt by davelevy

In writing my response to Burnham’s Conference 26 speech, I checked out what had happened since its signing. I asked Google, “are the projects announced with the UK-US trade prosperity deal still in place” and it replied,

The major UK-US prosperity deals face partial pauses, delays, and ongoing re-negotiation rather than smooth, full implementation: [1, 2, 3]

Technology Prosperity Deal: Pledged £31 billion to £150 billion in US tech investments, this deal was paused by Washington in December 2025 due to disputes over the UK’s Digital Services Tax, agricultural food standards, and the Online Safety Act. Both sides cautiously restarted preliminary talks focused on civil nuclear and fusion projects in early 2026. [2, 4, 5, 6, 7]

Economic Prosperity Deal: Reached in May 2025 to provide partial tariff relief in sectors like aerospace, autos, and beef, it remains an unfinished framework. Key issues like steel quotas, digital trade rules, and non-tariff barriers are still stalled or subject to ongoing friction. [1, 8]

Pharmaceutical Arrangement: Agreed to in December 2025, this deal exempted UK pharmaceuticals from steeper US tariffs in exchange for commitments expected to increase NHS medicine spending, though some private firms have paused or redirected domestic investments due to rising business costs. [1, 4, 9]

[1] https://publications.parliament.uk

[2] https://www.reuters.com

[3] https://www.reddit.com

[4] https://www.bbc.co.uk

[5] https://www.techuk.org

[6] https://bisi.org.uk

[7] https://www.theguardian.com

[8] https://publications.parliament.uk

[9] https://tjm.org.uk

Google also suggested looking at “One year on, the Tech Prosperity Deal has left UK more exposed to US pressure” from the Trade Justice Movement which looks at the Economic, Technology, and Pharmaceutical deals. It ends with a paragraph entitled, “Ending ‘forever negotiations’ with Trump”. They say,

“One year after the UK and US announced their Technology Prosperity Deal, “One year after the UK and US announced their Technology Prosperity Deal, our new briefing finds that the UK’s approach to negotiating with Donald Trump has delivered little certainty while leaving key areas of public policy increasingly vulnerable to US pressure.”

Taken together, they, [the three deals], show an ongoing pattern of negotiations conducted under US economic pressure …

This is part of a bigger pattern. The UK keeps negotiating in search of stability, but the stability never arrives. As soon as one negotiation ends, another demand appears. …

… the briefing calls on the new government to end the policy of “forever negotiations” and take a different approach, with clear red lines and greater democratic accountability.

This is not particularly original, there’s a lot of quotes but I first wrote about the trade deal on this blog and so have posted this follow up here too. I like to quote people who substantiate my polemics. The bottom line is that the UK-US Tech Prosperity Deal was in my mind never going to deliver much to the UK, and time has proved me right.

I finished last year’s article, with the phrase,

In IT, as in defence, the UK’s future is becoming a choice between the USA and the European Union; this treaty is just another piece of untimely Atlanticism, …

 …

AI’s black hole

People are interested in what they’re interested in and it seems that I can’t put copyright down. I was at in conference on artificial intelligence over the weekend, organised by global justice now (GJN).

by NASA via unsplash

The question I want to ask though is, that if AI, is meant to be so clever, how does it acquire all the science, social science and humanities white papers currently held behind copyright enforced paywalls or on DNS blocked repos.

It seems they don’t, unless they have “Partnership agreements” with the copyright holders for which they pay.

I’m concerned about this hole in human knowledge that is unavailable to the LLMs. Are we really betting all this money on only part of what we know?

The general intellect it is not! …

How important is profit for software projects?

a robot using a laptop

I have just posted on LinkedIn, “Does AI actually impact the bottom line in a good way?”. I look at an article from the Register based on a Gartner report which reports that in their survey AI projects “sucess rates were “only 28 percent of use cases fully succeed and offer return on investment (ROI).”

I look at at arguments from Perez’s Technological Revolutions and Financial Capital and remember a late 20th century paradox that while many IS projects had poor and even negative ROIs, firms that didn’t invest failed.

 …

A fracturing internet

some people in a queue

I wrote a medium length blog on linkedin and medium about three US court cases on internet system service provider liability to consumers and non-consenting suppliers. The big tech companies lost two, on harm caused which they’ll appeal, and won one on carrier immunity.

I also look at Russia’s recent measures to cut Russian users from the world, and mention the UK’s expressed concern about internet harms.  …

Political Tech Summit 26, Berlin

on Koepenicker Str, Berlin

These are my notes from Political Tech Summit 26. I have focused on those sessions I attended. The technology support presents what looks like AI written summaries of the sessions which were mainly panel sessions. I have quoted from these summaries and in one case sought to re-summarise using another LLM. I have tried to humanise the text so that the article remains in my voice but also informs you of what happened. For more, see overleaf ...

Untimely Atlanticism, a note on the UK-US Tech Prosperity Deal

an aisle in a computer hall

I wrote a response to the US/UK Technology deal which was eventually published in the Chartist Magazine. They entitled it, “Untimely Atlanticism” with a sub title, “US AI data centres drain power and offer little for UK jobs while in Europe opportunities call “. The rest of the article, is overleaf, behind the "Read More" button. I talk about the new data centres, their immense scale, the digital colonialism, the import implications of the deal, and question the short term and long term economic benefits of AI. I finish by oitin g out the European co-operation might be more beneficial. ...

About the AI Boom

an AI chip on a board

Five things

  1. There’s no positive business model, they can’t replace staff, or at least not without new supervisors.
  2. They are now borrowing to invest in each other.
  3. Hallucinations are a feature, it gets things wrong,
  4. The rule base’s ownership is obscure and Code is Law
  5. It’s [deliberately] wasteful of resources which people need to live.

It’s useless as a pillar of a growth/industrial policy. …

The downsides of the A.I. industry.

Karen Hao in front of a book shelf

I have recently, watched the YouTube video, “How tech CEOs are lying to you”, where Karen Hao is interviewed by  Aaron Bastani on Novara Media's channel. Ms Hao has just published a book, “Empire of AI” and the interview covers the topics of the book.

At the centre of her arguments are, that large language modules aka AI, and their use of resources, water, power, land and rare metals are a choice, and one that society cannot afford. She questions the business model of the AI industry, sees it as a threat to [US] wealth and notes its scofflaw approach to its own regulation and its oppression of poor and vulnerable communities. She is highly critical of the motivations of the oligarchs funding the AI bubble.

The remainder of this article, which is over 2000 words is overleaf, use the "Read More" button ....

Agile, SCRUM and optimism

two men at a transparent wall board

I have posted an article to my Linkedin blog. I had come across an article on medium, and so probably behind their paywall, called, “The Death of Agile: Why Tech Giants Are Abandoning Scrum and What They Use Instead”. One of the alternatives the author suggests is a zero methodology regime.

I extracted what I consider important from the article and argue these are critiques of SCRUM not necessarily of Agile.  I made a note in 2021, called SCRUM, where after listing a series of critiques of SCRUM, I highlighted four of the principles from the Agile manifesto, which I think remain relevant,

·       Individuals and interactions over processes and tools

·       Working software over comprehensive documentation

·       Customer collaboration over contract negotiation

·       Responding to change over following a plan

While not a fan of poor documentation, as I don’t consider the product finished without good documentation, these are useful, people centric and optimistic strategies.They rely on empowering talent, not micromanaging it.

I first wrote about Theory X/Theory Y in my blog article “Maximising Creativity” (2004), where I acknowledge its authorship by Douglas McGregor. I first heard about it in the ’80’s and McGregor wrote his book , “The Human Side of Enterprise”, in 1960.

In my previous article I concluded that while Agile maybe a Theory Y methodology/ideology, SCRUM is not, it is a Theory X methodology and the result of a Theory X methodologies is a Theory X organisation. …